Increasing economic resilience of Armenia, Georgia and Moldova
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Date:
1 Oct 2023 - 30 Mar 2025
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Client:
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Project duration:
01.10.2023 - 30.03.2025
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Jan Hagemejer
President of CASE Management Board
Jan Hagemejer’s areas of expertise are international trade as well as macroeconomic and structural issues. He graduated from University of Warsaw where he also obtained his PhD and habilitation, as well as from Purdue University (MA in Economics). He works as an associate professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw. Prior to … <a href="https://case-research.eu/project/increasing-economic-resilience-of-armenia-georgia-and-moldova-2/">Continued</a>
Projects from this author:
- Study to Quantify the Excise Gap
- Drivers of involuntary part-time employment in the EU
- Study on the ‘Repercussions of US agri-food tariffs on EU regions’
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Marek Dabrowski
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Marek Peda
Vice-president of CASE Management Board
Projects from this author:
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How the EU should prepare for the enlargement in terms of governance, policies and investments: options and choices made from a territorial perspective
In its 2023 enlargement package, the European Commission recommended that the Council open accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova. Moreover, it recommended that the Council grant Georgia the status of candidate country and open accession negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina, once the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria has been achieved. The … Continued
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The means for cities and regions to support the energy transition in the Mediterranean
Since February 2022, the war in Ukraine has significantly reshaped the geopolitical landscape and exacerbated the multiple challenges and tensions in the Mediterranean region. The conflict has highlighted the vulnerability of traditional energy supply routes, and the need to reassess future energy development strategies in the Mediterranean region. Like the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical uncertainties … Continued
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Natural disasters: anticipatory governance and disaster risk management from a local and regional perspective
The COVID-19 pandemic, the war right on our doorstep, the devastating floods in Slovenia, wildfires in Greece and Cyprus, relentless heatwaves in Italy and Spain, to name just a few: all of them highlight the need to better prepare for, cope with and recover from disasters and crises. It is one of the most important challenges for … Continued
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How the EU should prepare for the enlargement in terms of governance, policies and investments: options and choices made from a territorial perspective
The project will be conducted in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine and Russia’s increasingly assertive regional policy, which will continue to affect the economic situation of the three analysed countries via various channels – trade of goods and services, remittances of labour migrants, financial flows, energy dependence (all countries are net energy importers), perception of security risk, etc. Even if the war in Ukraine stopped during the project life, the problems it created would not disappear immediately. The entire Eastern European and Central Asian region will require economic stabilization, reconstruction, and rebuilding of its economic ties with the rest of the world. Therefore, the project agenda will not lose its relevance even if the case of the most optimistic scenario (ending the war soon). On the other hand, a high degree of political and economic uncertainty and unpredictability in the region and analysed countries requires a flexible approach to a project agenda, its analytical framework, methodology, and operational modes, that is, the ability to adjust them whenever new challenges and circumstances appear.
The project’s overarching goal will be the diagnosis of economic determinants of fragility in three analysed economies (Armenia, Georgia, and Moldova) and economic policy measures to increase their resilience to external and external and domestic shocks of various kinds. Despite the importance of geopolitical and security factors, the proposed project will not deal with them as they require different expertise. Pragmatic considerations (the limited project resources and time horizon of project implementation) suggest concentration on a few critical areas of economic resilience. Therefore, we propose four policy blocks to be analysed in the project. These are:
- External economic relations: trade in goods and services, labour migration and remittances, foreign investments, and broader economic integration
- Energy sector and energy policy
- Stability of a financial sector
- Macroeconomic stability (fiscal situation, public debt, monetary policy, inflation, balance of payments)
Client: Open Society Foundations
Project leader: CASE
Partners: Modex, EPRC, Expert-Grup
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