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education:

2017 Habilitation, University of Warsaw

2002-2009 University of Warsaw, PhD in Economics

2003-2005 Department of Economics, Purdue University, Indiana, USA, MA in Economics

1999-2000  London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics – General Course, a study year for visiting undergraduates

1997-2002  University of Warsaw, Department of Economics, MA summa cum laude, Andrzej Semkow prize for best MA thesis

Jan Hagemejer’s areas of expertise are international trade as well as macroeconomic and structural issues. He graduated from University of Warsaw where he also obtained his PhD and habilitation, as well as from Purdue University (MA in Economics). He works as an associate professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw. Prior to joining CASE, Jan Hagemejer worked as the head of Structural Analysis Division at the National Bank of Poland as well as the Center for Global Economic Analysis at Purdue University. His publications include, among others, works on trade policy reform evaluations, global value chains, productivity and internationalization as well as on various macroeconomic and structural issues (pension system reforms, services sector, energy and environment, inflation, fiscal policy, business cycle etc.). He also has a considerable experience in working with firm-level data.

His experience includes supervising research projects undertaken at the University of Warsaw and financed by the Polish National Science Center, which were devoted to trade, trade policy and the enterprise sector. In the past, he also took part as an investigator in several other projects funded by the National Science Centre as well as the European Commission, for example, the DISSETLLE project on dispute settlements in trade, the MicroDyn project on firm-level analysis of internationalization, the EMERYT project devoted to pension system reforms, as well as several projects EU-funded trade-related projects undertaken by the Femise consortium. Moreover, he was involved in several projects for the Polish government devoted to CGE-based ex-ante analyses of trade liberalization, for example the Round of WTO and the EU Service Directive.

Latest publications and research

2019, Export-led growth and its determinants. Evidence from CEEC countries. World Economy, vol 42(7), Wiley, pp. 1994-2025, with Jakub Mućk.

2018, Globalisation and the Polish economy: macro and micro growth effects, BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and deglobalisation, volume 100, pages 273-289 Bank for International Settlements, with Piotr Szpunar

2018, Trade and growth in the New Member States. The role of global value chains, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2017.1369878

2017, Up or Down the Value Chain? A Comparative Analysis of the GVC Position of the Economies of the New EU Member States, Central European Economic Journal (published online ahead of print). doi: https://doi.org/10.1515/ceej-2017-0003, with Mahdi Ghodsi

2017, Poland and TTIP Trade Effects: Modest Gains, CESifo Forum, ISSN 2190-717X, ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München, München, Vol. 18, Iss. 1, pp. 10-11

2017, Upstreamness of Employment and Global Financial Crisis in Poland: The Role of Position in Global Value Chains. In: Havlik P., Iwasaki I. (eds) Economics of European Crises and Emerging Markets. Palgrave, Singapore. doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-5233-0_10, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2017, Potential Macroeconomic Effects of the Trade Collapse Due to Economic and Political Crises: The Case of Poland. In: Havlik P., Iwasaki I. (eds) Economics of European Crises and Emerging Markets. Palgrave, Singapore, doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-5233-0_9

2016, Decreasing fertility vs increasing longevity: Raising the retirement age in the context of ageing processes, Economic Modelling 52, January 2016, pages 125-143, with Marcin Bielecki, Karolina Goraus and Joanna Tyrowicz

2016, Ocena wpływu podpisania TTIP na polski sektor rolny i spożywczy. In M. Dunin-Wąsowicz (Ed.), Analiza wpływu TTIP na wybrane sektory polskiej gospodarki (pp. 120–197). Warszawa: WN SCHOLAR, with Jan Michałek & Karolina Pawlak

2015, Analyzing the efficiency of the pension reform: the welfare effects of various fiscal closures, Macroeconomics Dynamics vol. 21(5), with Krzysztof Makarski and Joanna Tyrowicz, https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100515000383

2015, Rola usług rynkowych w procesach rozwojowych gospodarki Polski, Gospodarka Narodowa, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 163-193, with Jakub Growiec, Michał Gradzewicz, Zofia Jankiewicz, Piotr Popowski, Katarzyna Puchalska, Paweł Strzelecki and Joanna Tyrowicz [English title: The  role of market services in the growth processes in the economy of Poland]

2015, Small assumptions (can) have a large bearing: evaluating pension system reforms with OLG models, Economic Modelling 48, 210–221, with Marcin Bielecki, Karolina Goraus, Krzysztof Makarski, Joanna Tyrowicz

2015, Unprivatizing the pension system: the case of Poland. Applied Economics, 47, 833–852, with Krzysztof Makarski and Joanna Tyrowicz

Related Works:

The Impact of Tobacco Product Production on the Polish Economy. 2024 Edition

The document continues research from 2018 and 2020, focusing on the role of the tobacco sector in the Polish economy. The report discusses, among other things, the structure of the industry, its impact on the labor market, contribution to GDP, investments, as well as challenges and future development prospects. It also includes a detailed analysis of the market for innovative products and the taxation of tobacco products, comparing the Polish system with other EU countries. Key conclusions of the report include: In 2023, Poland produced 214.8 billion cigarettes, an increase of 42% compared to 2013, and the total production of tobacco products rose by 70%. Poland is the largest producer of tobacco products in the European Union, with a 39% share of the EU market. In 2023, the market value of traditional tobacco products was 42.9 billion złotys, with cigarettes accounting for the largest share (40.2 billion zł). Tobacco product exports make up 85% of production, and Poland is the main supplier of cigarettes to Germany, Spain, and Italy. Changes in the market for innovative products led to more than an eightfold increase in their sales from 2019 to 2023, reaching an 11.5% market share in 2023. Changes in the taxation structure of tobacco products, such as planned excise tax increases between 2025 and 2027, may affect demand and government revenue. The report also highlights the growing impact of excise and VAT taxes on the state budget and the positive effects of stable excise policies, as seen in Germany and Romania. However, changes in EU legislation and the phenomenon of the grey market remain challenges. In the long term, maintaining investments and promoting innovation could bring further economic benefits to Poland, while increased tax burdens may hinder sector growth.

Modelling the environmental impact of agri-food trade policies

In the era of globalization, international trade policies significantly influence the economic and environmental conditions of countries. As environmental concerns grow, it’s important to understand how these trade policies affect sustainable development and identify the strategies needed to achieve positive outcomes for the climate and environment.  This analysis aims to evaluate the impact of international … Continued

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