Trade aspects of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement

Project

19 May 2021 - 24 Sep 2021

Jan Hagemejer

Katarzyna Sidło

Date:

19 May 2021 - 24 Sep 2021
Project duration:

19.05.2021 - 24.09.2021
Partners:

University of Göttingen, University of Innsbruck, LSE, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
Leader:

CASE

Jan Hagemejer

Macroeconomics and Trade Director
Jan Hagemejer’s areas of expertise are international trade as well as macroeconomic and structural issues. He graduated from University of Warsaw where he also obtained his PhD and habilitation, as well as from Purdue University (MA in Economics). He works as an associate professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw. Prior to … <a href="https://case-research.eu/project/trade-aspects-of-the-eu-mercosur-association-agreement/">Continued</a>

Projects from this author:
- Future outlook of EU-Moldova trade and investment relations
- An update on the economic, sustainability and regulatory effects of the trade part of the EU-Mercosur Partnership Agreement
- VAT gap in Europe – report 2025
  The study's primary objective is to collect and supply economic information from existing official economic and statistical databases, as well as to gather primary data from national authorities. The study will also conduct macroeconomic analysis for country-specific VAT compliance and policy gap estimations and the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Moreover, the study will include up to five case studies on specific countries and/or topics, to be proposed by the contractor in their technical offer. Geographically, the study will cover all EU Member States, subject to quality checks for data reliability and robustness. This includes coverage of the United Kingdom during its time as an EU Member State. In addition, the study will test and implement, where possible, the inclusion of EU candidate countries and possible candidate countries, except for Türkiye. These countries include: • Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia1 (candidate countries at the stage of accession negotiations); • Ukraine, Moldova, and Bosnia and Herzegovina (Candidate countries for which the Council has decided to open accession negotiations); • Georgia (candidate country); • Kosovo (potential candidate country). The study's temporal scope will cover primarily a 6-year period, comprising: • a comprehensive review and revision of ‘full estimates’ for the first four years, i.e., for 2019-2022; • a new ‘full estimate’ for the fifth year, i.e., for 2023; • provisional ‘fast estimates’ for the sixth year based on simplified methodology for 2024. In addition to the 6-year coverage, the study will provide a historical context by reporting on VAT compliance gaps from 2000 onwards, and VAT policy gap estimates, including its components, from 2016 onwards. This will provide a comprehensive timeline of these indicators. The study will also include a review of the economic and policy context, also including an outlook beyond this 6-year period.
Author’s projects
Katarzyna Sidło
Dr Katarzyna W. Sidło specializes in the political economy, geo-economics and socioeconomic development of the European Union’s Southern Neighbourhood as well as EU-Mediterranean relations. She has a proven track record working on studies, evaluations and impact assessments commissioned by various international donors such as the European Parliament, the European Commission and its various departments and agencies, … <a href="https://case-research.eu/project/trade-aspects-of-the-eu-mercosur-association-agreement/">Continued</a>

Projects from this author:
- How the EU should prepare for the enlargement in terms of governance, policies and investments: options and choices made from a territorial perspective
  In its 2023 enlargement package, the European Commission recommended that the Council open accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova. Moreover, it recommended that the Council grant Georgia the status of candidate country and open accession negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina, once the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria has been achieved. The … Continued
- Tourism and Rural Development
  The study commissioned to CASE by the Committee of the Regions and entitled “Tourism and Rural Development” is to provide a brief analysis of the main barriers and enablers to tourism as part of rural development in the European Union from the perspective of subnational governments. The study also will pay attention to identify supporting … Continued
- Prospects of reinvigorating the Middle East Peace Process: a possible joint EU-US undertaking
  This study aimed to assess the prospects of, and underlying conditions for, a joint diplomatic EU-US initiative to support the Middle East Peace Process, and ultimately a viable, sustainable and peaceful solution to the Israeli-Palestinian dispute, in line with applicable international law. The paper prepared by CASE and IMED experts evaluates the possibility of … Continued
Author’s projects

The study will focus on the trade impact of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement for both, the EU and the Mercosur countries. The EU has until recently been Mercosur’s most important trade and investment partner (overtaken now by China). While the relationship is very substantial both, exporters and potential investors until now still faced barriers in Mercosur markets.

The study will identify and analyse the goals and impact of the trade part of the Association Agreement including trade in goods (in particular, the agriculture and industrial sectors), services (including maritime), sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS), SMEs, and trade and sustainable development (including social, environmental, human rights, and enforceability aspects).

The overall Association-Agreement has a significant geopolitical relevance and could send out a strong sign against protectionism and unilateralism. If ratified, the trade part of the Association Agreement would establish the largest free trade zone the EU has ever created, covering a population of over 780 million, and consolidate the close political, economic and cultural ties between the two regions. Currently, EU-Mercosur relations are governed by the 1995 Interregional Framework Cooperation Agreement.

The study will provide an overview of the economic (trade, growth and employment) impact that the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement could create for both, the EU and the Mercosur countries and include future economic perspectives while also addressing the social and environmental impact of a reinforced partnership.

The report will consist of the following parts:

The trade part of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement: contents and possible consequences
Economic, sustainability and regulatory effects of the EU Mercosur Association Agreement on the Mercosur countries
The role of the European Parliament and civil society

Project funding: European Parliament

Project leader: CASE

Project partners: University of Göttingen, University of Innsbruck, LSE, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)

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Trade aspects of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement

Date:

Project duration:

Partners:

Leader:

Jan Hagemejer

Projects from this author:

Katarzyna Sidło

Projects from this author:

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