Investment Activity and Economic Growth in the Polish Economy
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Date:
1 Sep 2021 - 30 Nov 2021
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Project duration:
01.09.2021 - 30.11.2021
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Adam Śmietanka
Economist
Adam Śmietanka is an Economist at CASE. His areas of expertise include data analysis, data visualization, web scraping, and inflation measurement. At CASE, Mr. Śmietanka is responsible for conducting data analysis, economic research, and developing and maintaining CASE’s online monthly consumer price index. His professional experience includes an internship with PwC’s Advisory Team and a … <a href="https://case-research.eu/project/investment-activity-and-economic-growth-in-the-polish-economy/">Continued</a>
Projects from this author:
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The challenges of VAT beyond VAT in the Digital Age
This study should consider possible improvements to the EU VAT system and assess their feasibility and likely consequences, based on the analysis of its current weaknesses, gaps, inefficiencies. As requested by the ToR, this requires a forward-looking analysis and prospective reflection, combined with and based on the retrospective assessment of the current situation. The study requires, on the one side, a thorough re-assessment of well-known problems of the EU VAT systems, which have been discussed for years by policymakers, scholars and in courts and tribunals, the solutions to which have already been long proposed in the academic as well as policy arena. On the other side, it requires a fresh view to identify new solutions to old problems, new problems and their possible solutions, as well as potential unknown problems, i.e. those that may appear in the future given the current economic, political and legal evolution and the megatrends of the EU and global society. Operationally, the activities needed to achieve the objectives of the study are straightforward. For each of the areas or angle of analysis, the study team will have to: Identify existing weaknesses and challenges of the EU VAT system, including those that may appear in the future given the likely evolution of the current situation. Design solutions to the problems identified. Assess the feasibility and consequences of the solutions identified.
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VAT Gap in the EU
The core objective of this study is to inform in an accurate, timely, understandable, and attractive manner the national administrations, Commission, academic community, and a broader audience on the value, development over time, and difference across Member States of tax gaps and related parameters. More specifically, the study will cover the VAT compliance gap, … Continued
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VAT compliance gap due to Missing trader intra-community (MTIC) fraud
Revenues generated by Value-Added Tax (VAT) play an important role in the budgets of European Union (EU) Member States (MS) and the EU; as VAT resource accounts for around 10% of EU own resource revenue and around 26% of MS’s tax revenue. Tax fraud, evasion and avoidance reduce these revenues, and undermine the tax system, affecting … Continued
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The challenges of VAT beyond VAT in the Digital Age
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Jan Hagemejer
Macroeconomics and Trade Director
Jan Hagemejer’s areas of expertise are international trade as well as macroeconomic and structural issues. He graduated from University of Warsaw where he also obtained his PhD and habilitation, as well as from Purdue University (MA in Economics). He works as an associate professor at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw. Prior to … <a href="https://case-research.eu/project/investment-activity-and-economic-growth-in-the-polish-economy/">Continued</a>
Projects from this author:
- Future outlook of EU-Moldova trade and investment relations
- An update on the economic, sustainability and regulatory effects of the trade part of the EU-Mercosur Partnership Agreement
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VAT gap in Europe – report 2025
The study's primary objective is to collect and supply economic information from existing official economic and statistical databases, as well as to gather primary data from national authorities. The study will also conduct macroeconomic analysis for country-specific VAT compliance and policy gap estimations and the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Moreover, the study will include up to five case studies on specific countries and/or topics, to be proposed by the contractor in their technical offer. Geographically, the study will cover all EU Member States, subject to quality checks for data reliability and robustness. This includes coverage of the United Kingdom during its time as an EU Member State. In addition, the study will test and implement, where possible, the inclusion of EU candidate countries and possible candidate countries, except for Türkiye. These countries include: • Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia1 (candidate countries at the stage of accession negotiations); • Ukraine, Moldova, and Bosnia and Herzegovina (Candidate countries for which the Council has decided to open accession negotiations); • Georgia (candidate country); • Kosovo (potential candidate country). The study's temporal scope will cover primarily a 6-year period, comprising: • a comprehensive review and revision of ‘full estimates’ for the first four years, i.e., for 2019-2022; • a new ‘full estimate’ for the fifth year, i.e., for 2023; • provisional ‘fast estimates’ for the sixth year based on simplified methodology for 2024. In addition to the 6-year coverage, the study will provide a historical context by reporting on VAT compliance gaps from 2000 onwards, and VAT policy gap estimates, including its components, from 2016 onwards. This will provide a comprehensive timeline of these indicators. The study will also include a review of the economic and policy context, also including an outlook beyond this 6-year period.
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Marek Peda
Projects from this author:
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How the EU should prepare for the enlargement in terms of governance, policies and investments: options and choices made from a territorial perspective
In its 2023 enlargement package, the European Commission recommended that the Council open accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova. Moreover, it recommended that the Council grant Georgia the status of candidate country and open accession negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina, once the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria has been achieved. The … Continued
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The means for cities and regions to support the energy transition in the Mediterranean
Since February 2022, the war in Ukraine has significantly reshaped the geopolitical landscape and exacerbated the multiple challenges and tensions in the Mediterranean region. The conflict has highlighted the vulnerability of traditional energy supply routes, and the need to reassess future energy development strategies in the Mediterranean region. Like the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical uncertainties … Continued
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Natural disasters: anticipatory governance and disaster risk management from a local and regional perspective
The COVID-19 pandemic, the war right on our doorstep, the devastating floods in Slovenia, wildfires in Greece and Cyprus, relentless heatwaves in Italy and Spain, to name just a few: all of them highlight the need to better prepare for, cope with and recover from disasters and crises. It is one of the most important challenges for … Continued
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How the EU should prepare for the enlargement in terms of governance, policies and investments: options and choices made from a territorial perspective
The CASE team will conduct a study on the size, structure and determinants of investment activity in Poland. The study will particularly focus on the long-term significance of investments, especially on investments aimed at increasing productivity and competitiveness. The research will be based on publicly available macroeconomic and sectoral data, as well as on a review of scientific and analytical literature on the subject of investment. Econometric research will use microeconomic data from the Notoria database and macroeconomic data.
The research work will result in a report which will address the following topics:
- Decomposition of the structure of the level and growth of GDP in Poland from the demand perspective – direct contribution of investments to the generation of demand in the country.
- Decomposition of the GDP growth from the supply side. Factors of production responsible for growth (labour factor growth, capital accumulation and ICT capital, total factor productivity).
- The model of economic growth in Poland (capital accumulation, foreign direct investment, export expansion).
- The effectiveness of public versus private investments – a review of the literature
- The investment rate and economic growth – a review of literature.
- The investment rate and economic growth – an international comparison.
- The investment rate and productivity growth – an international comparison.
- Investment determinants at the enterprise level
- Investment determinants at the country level – an international comparison
- Economic growth, tax revenues and investment (literature review and data analysis for Poland).
- Investment structure (public/private) – a comparison between Poland and EU
- Sectoral structure of investment – a comparison between sectors of the economy
- The largest investors in Poland -by sectors of activity and ownership
- The level of investment and the long-term growth rate of the sector – a comparison between the sectors of the economy
- Comparative analysis of the investment climate on the basis of available indices of economic prosperity, economic freedom, etc.
Client: ORANGE
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